Figure taken and adapted from [38]. Different works consider different properties. Compared to backpropagation (BP), predictive coding (PC) allows for more flexibility in the definition, training, and evaluation of the model. The experiments reported in this paper show the best results achieved on each specific task and, as a consequence, only the effects of a specific set of hyperparameters. Feedforward networks (left) simply overfit (i.e., reproduce without performing any modification) the input samples, despite being unrelated to the training data.

Bayesian and causal inference are fundamental processes for intelligence. Bayesian inference models observations: what can be inferred about y if we observe a related variable x? Causal inference models interventions: if we directly change x, how will y change? Predictive coding is a neuroscience-inspired method for performing Bayesian inference on continuous state variables using local information only. In this work, we go beyond Bayesian inference, and show how a simple change in the inference process of predictive coding enables interventional and counterfactual inference in scenarios where the causal graph is known. We then extend our results, and show how predictive coding can be generalized to cases where this graph is unknown, and has to be inferred from data, hence performing causal discovery. What results is a novel and straightforward technique that allows us to perform end-to-end causal inference on predictive-coding-based structural causal models, and demonstrate its utility for potential applications in machine learning.

Training with backpropagation (BP) in standard deep learning consists of two main steps: a forward pass that maps a data point to its prediction, and a backward pass that propagates the error of this prediction back through the network. This process is highly effective when the goal is to minimize a specific objective function. However, it does not allow training on networks with cyclic or backward connections. This is an obstacle to reaching brain-like capabilities, as the highly complex heterarchical structure of the neural connections in the neocortex are potentially fundamental for its effectiveness. In this paper, we show how predictive coding (PC), a theory of information processing in the cortex, can be used to perform inference and learning on arbitrary graph topologies. We experimentally show how this formulation, called PC graphs, can be used to flexibly perform different tasks with the same network by simply stimulating specific neurons. This enables the model to be queried on stimuli with different structures, such as partial images, images with labels, or images without labels. We conclude by investigating how the topology of the graph influences the final performance, and comparing against simple baselines trained with BP.